U.S.EnergyInformationAdministrationShort-TermEnergyOutlookOctober20221Note:EIAcompletedmodelingandanalysisforthisreportonThursday,October6,2022October2022Short-TermEnergyOutlookForecasthighlightsWinterFuelsOutlook•InourWinterFuelsOutlook,weforecastthataveragehouseholdexpendituresforhomeheatingfuelswillincreasethiswinterbecauseofbothhigherexpectedfuelcostsandhigherenergyconsumptionduetocoldertemperatures.Comparedwithlastwinter,innominalterms,weforecastexpendituresforhomesthatheatwithnaturalgaswillriseby28%,heatingoilby27%,electricityby10%,andpropane5%fromOctober–March.Globalliquidfuels•TheBrentcrudeoilspotpriceinourforecastaverages$93perbarrel(b)inthefo...