TheUkraineWar:PreparingfortheLonger-termOutcomeByAnthonyH.CordesmanWiththeassistanceofGraceHwangApril14,2022Pleaseprovidecommentstoacordesman@gmail.comPhoto:ANATOLIISTEPANOV/AFP/GettyImagesCordesman:Ukraine–Longer-termOutcomeAHCApril14,20223modernization.Theerraticnationaleffortstomeetthe2%and20%goalsoftenignoredboththesteadyreductionin,andagingof,keyaspectsofthemajorweaponsandmilitarysystemsinmanycountries,aswellasthecontinueddependenceofmanyEasternEuropeanmembersonweaponsandsystemsthattheyhadinheritedfromtheFormerSovietUnion(FSU)andwheretheynolongerhadaccessto,orpurchased,thenecessaryupgrades,modernization,andupdatedweaponsandC4/ISRsystemsforsuchweapon...
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